Posted on Wednesday, May 16th 2018
According to a research by P&S Market Research, the global wearable fitness tracker market is estimated to grow to $48.2 billion by 2023 driven by the increasing use of fitness tracking apps, demand for continuous health monitoring devices, and increasing disposable income. Billion Dollar Unicorn player Fitbit (NYSE:FIT) has been among the pioneers in the industry. But the company has continued to see its valuation dwindle since it went public in 2015.
Fitbit’s recent results weren’t very impressive. Revenues for the quarter fell 17% to $247.9 million. They were marginally ahead of the Street’s forecast of $247.3 million. Losses have continued to grow as well. The company reported a net loss of $0.34 per share compared with $0.27 per share a year ago. On an adjusted basis though, the losses of $0.17 per share were better than the Street’s estimated $0.20 per share. A year ago, Fitbit had recorded losses of $0.15 per share on an adjusted basis.
Among operating metrics, Fitbit sold 2.2 million devices during the quarter, compared with 3 million sold last year.
It forecast revenues of $275-$295 million for the current quarter with an adjusted loss per share of $0.23-$0.27. The market had been forecasting revenues of $310 million and an adjusted per-share loss of 12 cents. Fitbit expects to end the year with net revenues of $1.5 billion.
According to IDC’s recently published results for the last quarter of fiscal 2017, Fitbit is no longer the market leader in the sector. IDC estimates that the company accounted for 14.2% of the market share by volume compared with 18.5% a year ago. During the same period, Apple’s share has gone up from 14.4% to 21%. For the calendar year 2017, Fitbit saw market share drop from 21.5% in 2016 to 13.3% in 2017, while Apple’s share rose from 10.8% to 15.3%.
Fitbit’s Expansion Plan
Fitbit continues to see a decline in the demand of fitness trackers as more people are transitioning to smartwatches that double up as trackers. Sales of its smartwatches nearly doubled for the quarter, and accounted for 30% of the revenues. It expects the overall mix for its revenues to continue to be skewed towards trackers.
Fitbit may have been a pioneer in the wearable tracker market, but it has definitely lost its first mover advantage. Last year, Fitbit had acquired smartwatch player, Pebble, for an estimated $23 million. The acquisition was a great deal for Fitbit considering that it had offered to buy Pebble for $740 million in 2015. It followed that with the $15 million acquisition of Vector Watch. Both Pebble and Vector failed to sustain their holdings in the market with Apple’s rising presence. Fitbit managed to buy them at a discount and has leveraged their assets to deliver its smartwatches. Fitbit has been slow to enter the smartwatch game. It released its first smartwatch, Ionic, only last year. By then, Apple’s smartwatch was already on its third release.
Earlier this spring, Fitbit released another version of its smartwatch – Versa. Versa was not available for sale for the reported quarter, but recent reports suggest positive feedback from the market. With Versa, Fitbit hopes to win some of its market back. It has priced Versa at $200, compared with the entry point of $300 for the Apple Watch. Besides the price, Versa also comes with added features such as being water-resistant up to 50 meters, and a long battery life. Time Magazine called it the biggest threat to the Apple Watch given the quality of its activity tracking and delivering notifications. Fitbit has also managed to grow its third-party apps marketplace. Versa users can choose from more than 550 third-party apps that include those from companies like Yelp, Starbucks, and Pandora.
Additionally, Fitbit plans to bring back some of its lost mojo through targeted acquisitions and tie-ups. It recently announced a tie-up with Google that will allow Fitbit to leverage Google’s expertise and resources to improve its product. Fitbit will also move its platform to Google Cloud so that it could benefit from advanced analytics and AI capabilities.
Earlier this year, Fitbit announced the acquisition of Twine Health, a coaching platform. The acquisition suggests that Fitbit wants to make its presence felt within the healthcare segment. Twine Health is a HIPAA-compliant, cloud-based health management platform that connects people with chronic conditions like diabetes and hypertension with coaches and doctors who can help them follow healthier lifestyles. Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed.
Its stock is trading at $5.19 with a market capitalization of $1.3 billion. It had touched a 52-week high of $7.32 in December last year and had fallen to a 52-week low of $4.51 last month. The stock’s current price is a far cry from the $20 that the stock had listed at nearly two years ago.
More investigation and analysis of Unicorn companies can be found in my latest Entrepreneur Journeys book, Billion Dollar Unicorns.
This segment is a part in the series : Billion Dollar Unicorns
. How Marketo Is Faring In The Public Market . Workday's Ramp to Multi-Billion Valuation . ServiceNow's Expanding Market Opportunity . Tableau's Valuation Increases to $6 Billion . A Rare Media Venture Called Vice . Will Box Implode Post IPO? . Net-a-Porter Cracks The Luxury Fashion Market . Outbrain Prepares for an IPO . Palantir's Skyrocketing Valuation May Be Justified . Online Education Player Lynda.comMore »» . Pluralsight's Impressive Rise . Snapchat Explores Revenue Generating Options . Analysts Project Revenue for Pinterest . The Market Awaits Etsy's IPO . Taboola's Content Marketing Growth . Egnyte Eyes IPO in 18 Months . Web 3.0 and E-Commerce Investment Thesis of 3 VCs . Cleversafe's Unique IP Strategy . Cloud Investment Thesis of 5 VCs . GoDaddy Shying Away from IPO, Yet Again . Can Square Sustain Its Valuation? . Zulily Tumbles . MuleSoft Will Be Joining Soon . Bootstrap First, Raise Money Later . ShopClues in India Shows Unicorn Characteristics . What Have You Learned? . ASOS Shines From London . Xiaomi Overtakes Samsung in China . eClinicalWorks Bootstraps With A Paycheck . Strategies From 5 Entrepreneurs . Lending Club Focuses on Growth Post IPO . Slack Speeds Its Way To The Mark . Eventbrite Shies Away from an IPO . Meituan Leads China's Group Buying Market . Gilt Groupe Delays IPO . Veeam Wants To Stay Private . Nextdoor's Valuation Skyrocketing With No Sign of Revenues . Stripe Exploring Tie-Ups for Growth . HubSpot Sustains Solid Growth Post IPO . Shazam Makes it to the Club . OnDeck Scoring in Small Businesses Instant Loans . Fat Startup Adaptive Insights Leading in Cloud CPM . Cloudera Leverages Open-Source Hadoop to Create a Multi-Billion Dollar Business . Evernote Cracks the Freemium Model . Rocket Fuel Crashes on Results . MongoDB Rises High on NoSQL Databases . Shopify Preparing for an IPO . JustFab Getting Ready for an IPO . Kabam to Stay Private? . Adyen Bootstraps to Multi-Billion Valuations . RetailMeNot Worries About Mobile Monetization . Elance-oDesk Taking on the Freelance World . Farfetch Connecting Designers with Consumers . The Impressive Story of Airpush . athenahealth Enters the EHR Market . Privalia Dominates the Latin America Markets . Niche E-Commerce Works for Fanatics . Powa Puts London on the Map . RealReal Shows How to Consign Luxury Products . Vancl On A Roller Coaster Ride . Didi Dache is China's Uber . Dafiti Leading E-Commerce in Latin America . ServiceNow Expands Addressable Market . Flipboard Focuses on Monetization . Hootsuite Eyes an IPO . GoodData Riding High on Big Data Analytics Market Growth . Cheetah Mobile Part Of Chinese Contingent . Hortonworks Needs To Deliver Results . Clarabridge Wins by Analyzing Customer Sentiment . Tableau Continues its Precise Execution . Will Cloudera Sustain $5 Billion Valuation Post IPO? . Freshdesk is a Prospect . InMobi Wants to IPO in India . Zendesk Targets the Live Chat Market . New Relic Getting Ready to Battle with Microsoft . Twilio is Revolutionizing Telecommunications . Funding Circle is UK's Latest Entry to the Club . Luxury Retailer Moda Operandi on the Club's Runway . Splunk is Now Targeting the SMB Segment . Capital-Efficient StartApp Is A Prospect . AppNexus In The IPO 2015 Pipeline . Druva Poised to Produce an Indian Unicorn . MapR Readies IPO . Lookout Getting Ready for an IPO . Anaplan Gets Ready to Enter the Club . Blue Apron Simplifies DIY Gourmet Cooking . GoFundMe Bootstraps till the Half-Way Point . Containers Gives Docker Entry into the Club . Can Kaltura Be A Public Unicorn? . The Ride-Sharing Industry Continues to Deliver Unjustifiable Valuations . MarkLogic Making Waves in Enterprise NoSQL . CloudFlare Offers Website Security over the Cloud . Mixpanel Provides Advanced Analytics for SMBs . Spotify Gearing up to Face Apple Music . Auction.com in Expansion Mode . Nutanix Gives VMWare Tough Competition . Houzz Bootstraps in a Niche Space to Join the Club . Rapid7 Delivers a Successful IPO . Coinbase Tries To Capitalize on BitCoins . Expect Acquisitions From ServiceNow . Zendesk and Freshdesk in Expansion Mode . Zulily Attempts to Make a Turnaround . Etsy Continues to Fumble . Lufax May be Risky, But Valuations Remain Lofty . Will IBM Acquire FireEye? . Mode Media Takes on Video Streaming . New Relic Moves Deeper into Enterprise . Delivery Hero Gets Multi-Billion Dollar Valuation for Food Delivery . Splunk Beefs Up Cyber Security . Garena Secures Singapore's Entry to the Club . Dianping is Thriving in China with its Local Reviews Business . Box Struggles in its Public Avatar . Coupang Raises the Banner for South Korea . InsideSales.com Bootstraps First, Raises Money Later . Pinterest Eyes E-Commerce . Klarna Takes the Risk out of E-Commerce . VNG Grows While Remaining Focused on Vietnam . Good, Bad and Ugly . Sprinklr Rolls up Social Media Management Software Before IPO . ContextLogic Marries Wish Lists to Vendors . Beepi Disintermediates Used Car Dealerships . Snapchat Experiments With Revenues . Tanium Simplifies Cyber Security . Avant is Revolutionizing Consumer Credit . Adyen is on a Roll . Apttus Ready for IPO . ZScaler Takes Security to the Cloud . Bullhorn is in the Making . Sogou a Unicorn, But Yet to Find its Mojo . Evernote Trying to Recover Lost Ground . Modernizing Medicine Is A Prospect . Instacart Looks Shaky . Mogujie's E-Commerce Pivot Pays Off . Zalando Takes the Lead in European Etail . BlaBlaCar Expands Internationally with Acquisitions . Square Files for IPO Below Last Round of Financing . Secretive Infinidat Makes its Way to the Club . FanDuel Creates a Billion Dollar Company out of Fantasy Sports . Kabbage Latest Unicorn in Slowing Online Lending Sector . Atlassian Now Prepping for a US Listing . Match.com Looking to Court the Stock Market Now . Ele.Me Shows Online-2-Offline Works . Alteryx is a Prospect . Machine Zone Translates Multi-Player Games to Multi-Billion Valuation . ZocDoc Should Be Able To Withstand Public Market Scrutiny . Thumbtack Joins the Ranks . Beibei the Baby of the Club . Online Lender SoFi Puts Off IPO Plans . Warby Parker Joins the Club . DraftKings Looks Worried as Fantasy Sports Come Under Scrutiny . Tujia Offers Vacation Rentals in China . Hortonworks Struggles to Stay in the Club . Atlassian, A Legitimate One, Delivers A Great IPO . Reconsider Your Aspirations . Will Docker Sustain? . Veeva Delivers Strong Fundamentals . OfferUp Still Needs to Figure out Revenue Model . Mozido Delivers Mobile Payment to Non-Banking Customers . SimpliVity a Prospect . WePiao Succeeds in Online Ticketing in China . Uptake Joins the Club . For Magic Leap, Unicorn Status No Longer Virtual . Udacity Leans on Industry Giants for Monetization . ForeScout Does Not Want To Go Public Yet . ShopClues Joins the Club . Age of Learning Monetizing in Educational Apps . Square Post Its IPO . Decolar is the Latin American Entry to the Club . Japan's Mercari Joins the Club . Yello Mobile Acquires its Way into the Club . TutorGroup Enters the Club . Souq.com the Middle East Entry to the Club . WeWork Riding the Sharing Economy Wave . Moderna Therapeutics A Promising, Unproven Bet . GitHub Faces Growing Pains . Africa Internet Group the First African Entry to the Club . Paytm Plans Rapid Expansion . Oscar Plans to Expand Its Network . Razer Leads the Gaming Accessory Market . GuaHao Targets China's Healthcare . AUTO1 Group Plans International Expansion . TransferWise Makes Money Transfer Simpler and Cheaper . Ping An Good Doctor Is Largest Chinese Healthcare Unicorn . MindMaze Channels Virtual Reality into Healing . Driverless Car Startup Zoox Joins The Club . Cylance Uses Machine Learning as Cyber Security Tool . SMS Assist Brings a Lackluster Industry to the Club . Unity Technologies a Strong VR Gaming Bet . Square Eyeing Large Sellers . Airbnb Continues to Soar . Xiaohongshu Leverages Social Commerce to Join the Club . iCarbonX Wants to Create a Digital You . Liepin, China's Homegrown Recruitment Platform . Hike is the Latest Entrant from India . Go-Jek Hails its Way into the Club . Quanergy Rides Into the Club . Aiwujiwu Rides High on Chinese Real Estate Sector . Zeta Interactive Counts on Inorganic Growth . Line Delivers a Successful IPO . Grab from Singapore is the Next Big One . Didi Chuxing Monopolizing Chinese Ride-Sharing Market? . Blippar Bets on Its Visual Browser . Two Years Post the IPO, Globant Continues to Soar . Nutanix Delivers a Strong Performance in the First Week of Listing . Coupa Has a Successful IPO . Online-to-Offline Focus Helps Huimin Enter the Club . Real Estate Platform Compass Joins the Club . LeSports Cashes in on Niche Video Streaming . Flipkart's Valuation Bodes Unsteady Future . Russian Avito Gearing up to go Public . Guazi Leading the Chinese Online Used Car Market . Slack Delays IPO to Next Year . Sprinklr Acquiring to take on Big Brands . Infor Accumulates ERP Providers to Build an Empire . Royole Corporation Flexes its Way into the Club . Rong360.com Joins the Club . Stripe’s Skyrocketing Valuation . Hulu Gears up to Stream Cable . Nutanix Delivers Upbeat Performance, Stock Still Down . Procore Joins the Club . JetSmarter Flies Into the Club . Opendoor Labs Opens the Door to the Club . Neo Technology Takes Databases to the Next Level . Kabam Struggles to Stay Alive . Careem is the Latest Middle East Unicorn . Huochebang is the Uber of Trucks in China . SimpliVity Exits in HPE's Arms . Kendra Scott Shows that Women CAN Build Unicorns . Zhihu Imitates Quora to Build a Valuation Without Revenue Company . Putting Flipkart's Struggles in Perspective . BlackLine Continues to Grow Post IPO . Global Switch Wants to be Leader in Data Centers . AppDynamics Sold Before IPO . MuleSoft Delivers Successful IPO . Alteryx has a Successful IPO . Airbnb is in no Rush to IPO . Actifio Focuses on Profitability, not IPO . In Uptake, Groupon Founder Shows He Has Learnt His Lesson . Will Cisco buy Nutanix? . Zoom Video Communications Enters the Club . C3 IoT Joins the Club . Robinhood Joins the Club . Veeva Systems Executes Systematically . Modernizing Medicine Crosses $100 Million Revenue Threshold . Stripe is in no Rush to List . Cloudera Fails to Keep the Market Happy . Stitch Fix Delivers a Surprisingly Fresh Take on Shopping for Fashion . Bill.com Has Scaled Quietly . Toutiao Snags a Big Round, But Growth and Revenues Remain Tricky . Taboola and Outbrain Exploring a Merger . Looker Counts on Big Data Analytics . Katerra Tackles the Construction Industry with Technology . Peloton Cycles Into the Club . Yello Mobile Delays IPO . Kuaishou to Focus on AI . Garena Files Privately in New Avatar . Clover Health Reaches Milestone Valuation . Careem Focused on MENA . DraftKings Faces Hurdles . Sales AI Startup Afiniti Considering IPO . Ticket Monster To Invest In Groceries . Yext Makes it to the Club and on the Exchange . Rubrik Gears up to go Public . Pinterest Delays its IPO Plans . Valuation Without Revenue Nextdoor Trying to Monetize . Delivery Hero Goes Public Albeit Huge Losses . Newly Public Redfin Wants to be the Amazon of Real Estate . VIPKid is the Newest Kid in the Club . Nutanix Making a Comeback . Fanatics now Eyeing Asia . Valuation for Unity Technologies Keeps Soaring . AvidXchange Eyeing IPO . AppDirect Cashes in on Cloud . Ele.me Consolidates Market, but Profits Elusive . Valuation for WeWork Continues to Soar . CrowdStrike Joins the Club . TransferWise Turns Profitable . Is Cybereason the Next Cyber Security Company to get Acquired? . Yuanfudao, China's First EdTech Unicorn . Coupa Close to 52-Week High . What Are AUTO1's Margins? . Is Houzz's Valuation Justified? . Apttus Eyeing an IPO . Atlassian Hits a New High . Proofpoint Expands Product Offerings to Gain Market Share . FireEye Struggling To Keep Up . Forescout Finally Lists . Indian Small Town Marketplace ShopClues Looks Shaky . Profitable Qualys Hits a New High . Microvast Charges into the Club . HelloFresh Lists Successfully . Zscaler Getting Ready for IPO . New Relic at a 52-Week High . Rong360 Goes Public on NYSE as Jianpu . 23andMe in High Gear . Kabbage Mulling Over an IPO . Reddit is in No Rush to Go Public . Grab Becomes the Most Valuable Startup in Southeast Asia . Talend Going Strong Since Listing . Stitch Fix Is Worth Celebrating . No Stable Revenue Model in Sight, but Quora Usage Still Growing Rapidly . Splunk Outpaces Market Expectations . Razer IPO - Yet Another Story of a Non-Profit Stock . Roku Streams a Successful IPO, for Now . CarGurus Bootstraps its Way to an IPO . Competition Heats up for Slack . SoFi Delays IPO Plans . Improbable Joins the Club . Why Cloudera Continues to Stumble . Can MongoDB Sustain Unicorn Status? . Can Okta Sustain its Valuation? . Is Stitch Fix the Next Blue Apron? . Atlassian is Doing Everything Right, But is it Too Expensive? . How Does Domo's Valuation Compare with Tableau's? . Is the Duopoly Keeping AppNexus from Listing? . Why Doesn't Adyen Want to Go Public? . Will Zuora be able to Compete with Oracle? . Will DocuSign Cave in to Potential Buyers? . Should Xiaomi List at a $50B+ IPO Valuation? . What is Marketo's Roll-up Strategy? . Will Apptio Expand Internationally? . What is Anaplan's Product Strategy? . Will Apttus Take the Plunge? . How Will Nutanix Control Dell? . Does New Relic Plan to Consolidate the APM Market? . What is Coupa's Next Acquisition? . Will Medallia Help Consolidate? . How Will Ellie Mae Handle Looming Mortgage Worries? . Will Zoom Go Public or Get Acquired? . Is GoodData Ready to Go Public? . Will a Sales Strategy Change Help Cloudera? . Can Splunk Sustain its Price Point? . Can Fortinet Get to $10 Billion in Revenue? . What Other MarTech Startups Will HubSpot Acquire Next? . What is Okta's Inorganic Growth Narrative? . What Will Atlassian Acquire Next? . Will C3 IoT Look to Acquire a few Indian Startups? . Is Microsoft Planning to Buy InsideSales? . BlackLine Striking Powerful Partnerships . How Will GitHub Reach Its Billion Dollar Revenue Target? . Fitbit Struggles to Stay Relevant . Squarespace is Willing to Wait Patiently For an IPO