
During this week’s roundtable, we had Gus Tai, veteran Venture Capitalist and a close friend, in conversation with me on why the Venture Capital industry needs to shrink in size.
We kicked off the conversation with a couple of charts showing the trajectory of the industry over the last decade and analyzed the trends.
Clearly, this is a contrarian perspective. The entire discussion is FULL of contrarian perspectives.
Here are some points we covered:
Sramana Mitra: We’ve had a hyper-active Venture Capital industry since the mid-nineties when the Internet came into being as an engine of innovation. In thirty years, the industry has accumulated enough data to show that the vast majority of VC-funded startups fail. Some fail altogether. Some succeed in building customers, revenues and profits, but are slow growth, and their exit prospects are not in line with the capital raised. So they become zombies. And yet, entrepreneurs still believe Entrepreneurship = Financing. They mindlessly chase venture capital and raise money without a clear idea of how they plan to build a high velocity company. Dumb money abounds. They set hundreds and thousands of entrepreneurs up for failure. How do we change this dynamic?

You should not spend 5-7 years of your life on a bogus startup idea. Before you commit invaluable years of your life to an idea, before you write a line of code, you should TEST your idea. How do you do that?

Germany offers a vibrant, multi-hub startup ecosystem, spanning Berlin, Munich, Hamburg, Frankfurt, Cologne, Stuttgart, and Heidelberg/Walldorf. Each hub provides unique advantages—talent pools, corporate clients, investor networks—but all reflect the accelerator conundrum: while founders gain access to mentorship, accelerators, and networks, they often face equity requirements, selective entry, high operational costs, and premature scaling pressures. Even in hubs with strong corporate connections, like Walldorf, founders frequently struggle to bootstrap, validate revenue, and scale sustainably before external pressures force decisions that can compromise long-term business viability.
>>>By Guest Author Sareena Bilal

The Accelerator Conundrum is a multipart series that challenges the prevailing wisdom of the tech startup ecosystem that entrepreneurs should Blitzscale out of the gate. Written by Sramana Mitra, the Founder and CEO of One Million by One Million (1Mby1M), the world’s first global virtual accelerator, it emphatically argues that a better strategy is to Bootstrap First, Raise Money Later, focus on customers, revenues and profits. 1Mby1M’s mission is to help a million entrepreneurs reach a million dollars in annual revenue and beyond.
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Heidelberg and its neighboring town, Walldorf, represent one of Germany’s most specialized hubs for IT and IT-enabled service startups, particularly those targeting enterprise clients and B2B SaaS solutions. With SAP’s global headquarters in Walldorf, the region offers founders unprecedented opportunities to pilot enterprise software solutions, establish strategic partnerships, and engage with global IT clients. Yet, the ecosystem also exemplifies the accelerator conundrum: founders have access to corporate networks, but accelerators and programs often impose equity requirements, selective entry, and premature scaling pressure.
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Stuttgart, located in the heart of Germany’s industrial and manufacturing region, is a hub for enterprise IT and IT-enabled service startups targeting industrial clients, B2B SaaS, and IoT platforms. The city’s ecosystem is smaller than Berlin or Munich but offers unique advantages for founders seeking to work closely with corporate and industrial clients, particularly in automotive, engineering, and manufacturing sectors. Stuttgart exemplifies the accelerator conundrum: access to mentorship and corporate networks exists, yet startups face equity pressure, selective accelerator entry, and the challenge of premature scaling.
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Cologne, Germany’s digital media and creative tech hub, offers a growing ecosystem for IT and IT-enabled service startups, particularly those focused on B2B SaaS, digital platforms, and media-related IT solutions. While smaller than Berlin or Munich, Cologne provides founders with close-knit networks, accelerator programs, and connections to corporates, making it a fertile ground for early-stage IT-enabled ventures. Yet, as elsewhere, Cologne illustrates the accelerator conundrum: solo founders have access to resources, but they are often subject to equity pressure, selective accelerator entry, and premature scaling expectations.
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Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) recently announced mixed third quarter results. But its outlook was impressive. As Salesforce continues to expand its AI offerings, it announced plans to cross $60 billion in revenues by 2030.
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