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Pinterest, an Unlikely 2017 IPO Prospect

Posted on Tuesday, Jan 24th 2017

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After the dry spell for tech IPOs in 2016, 2017 is expected to be a busy year. Billion Dollar Unicorns Snapchat and AppDynamics have already filed to go public and another unicorn that has long been on the IPO prospects list is social media content discovery app Pinterest, which has low revenue but a ridiculously high valuation.

Pinterest’s Experiments with Monetization

Founded in 2009, San-Francisco-based Pinterest has 150 million users, up 50% over the year, 200 million visual searches per month, and 75 billion pins. About 75% of its sign-ups are outside the US.

Its revenue model is still evolving, and it primarily makes money through advertisements on its website and mobile app. It has experimented with e-commerce initiatives like buyable bins to leverage its women concentrated audience. However, they never really took off as a way for users to actually make purchases. It has now become a long-term initiative.

Artificial intelligence and video have been its major strategic initiatives in recent times.

Pinterest has been working on employing machine learning across all four key parts of Pinterest: home feed, search, related pins, and visual search. It introduced a ranking system in 2015 to change the order of pins based on how much Pinterest predicted people would engage with pins. It has reportedly led to a 30% rise in repins. Early in 2016, it started considering recent activity for showing related pins, and this has resulted in a 4% rise in repins.

Pinterest has been aggressively pushing more video content. It has a new section called Pinterest Explore, which will include the top pinned ideas each day as well as content and videos from major publishers, such as GQ, Harper’s Bazaar, Food Network, National Geographic, and HGTV. When a user visits the Explore tab, videos will automatically play. Pinterest is also experimenting with ads in these videos. Initial advertisers include American Express, Macy’s, and Sony Pictures. Videos have a higher ad rate and hence is an attractive revenue stream for social media companies like Facebook.

Pinterest’s Financials

Pinterest projected revenue of $300 million in 2016, three times its revenue of $100 million in 2015. Pinterest hopes to reach $2.8 billion in revenues by 2018 and grow its active user base to 329 million by 2018.

Pinterest is venture funded so far with $1.3 billion in funding from individual investors and funds including Valiant Capital Partners, FirstMark Capital, Fidelity Investments, Bessemer Venture Partners, SV Angel, Andreessen Horowitz, Slow Ventures, Rakuten, Jack Abraham, Max Levchin, Kevin Hartz, Michael Birch, New York Angels, William Lohse, Jeremy Stoppelman, Wellington Management, and Goldman Sachs. Its last round of funding was held in May 2015 when it raised $186 million at a valuation of $11 billion.

Its high funding and valuation are reasons for it being a constant feature on IPO Prospects lists. In October 2016, it appointed its first CFO Todd Morgenfeld, who is from Twitter. However, the company has clarified that it has no plans for an IPO right now. Rightly so, as it still needs to figure out a viable revenue model.

A better exit could probably be an acquisition by Amazon, which has recently launched a revamped and expanded version of a Pinterest-like feature called “Interesting Finds”. As I recently suggested, Pinterest could be an interesting acquisition for Amazon. Pinterest users are highly engaged, and a deeper integration with Amazon’s e-commerce engine could make the monetization model much more lucrative. However, $11 billion is too big a price tag. Even with Amazon’s cash balance of $13.6 billion, I don’t think it’d pay $11 billion for Pinterest, and it shouldn’t. $3-$4 billion is a reasonable valuation, whether it is for an IPO or an acquisition.

It would, however, leave investors deeply dissatisfied!

Photo Credit: C_osett/Flickr.com

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