India’s development over the last two decades owes a lot to globalization and IT outsourcing from the West.
Today, the Indian IT-BPO industry employs 3.7 million people.
A large portion of this is relatively low skilled, or at least mid-range skilled positions.
Artificial Intelligence, it seems, will deliver on its promise on many vectors. Low-skilled tasks that can be automated WILL be automated. This will start showing impact relatively soon. Some analysts like HfS research have projected a job loss of 640,000 by 2021.
I have written several pieces under The Future series title. Here’s a recap:
– The Future – Genetic Engineering?
– The Future – Destructive Technology Trends
– The Future – End Of Capitalism
– The Future – The Problem With Longevity
– The Future – Technology Without Philosophy
– The Future – The Most Important Entrepreneurial Challenge Of Our Time
– The Future – Age Of Idiocracy
Now, if you agree with my prognosis that both blue collar and white collar jobs are going to disappear at a massive scale due to automation, then you must ask yourself, what is a constructive direction forward?
I have two answers to this question. >>>
The world is becoming a hopeless, dangerous place for people who do not have high-end skills.
Anything and everything that can be automated, we can assume, in the next 30-50 years, will be automated.
That leaves vast numbers of people of out the workforce, unable to acquire high-end, non-automatable skills. They simply do not have the intellectual capacity for learning, for example, how to build robots. Or, how to do highly sophisticated research in particle physics.
So what would happen to these people?
Creative destruction has been at the heart of Capitalism for a long time. Technology and innovation destroy existing world orders and create new ones.
The story is old.
The story is celebrated.
Recently, however, several technology trends are destroying without creating robust alternatives.
Media is a very good example.
On October 17, 2016, I gave a talk titled The Future of Capitalism at the Ramakrishna Mission Institute of Culture in Kolkata, India. RKM, for the uninitiated, is India’s largest NGO. It was founded by one of the greatest social entrepreneurs the world has ever known – a Hindu monk, Swami Vivekananda, who in 1893, delivered a message of universal religion at the Chicago Parliament of the World’s Religions. In these days of intolerance and bigotry, it was an honor for me to stand on the grounds of an institution that shaped my own egalitarian worldview since childhood. You can listen to my speech here:
Photo credit: Hamza Hussein/Flickr.com.
We are extending life expectancy by leaps and bounds through the miracles of science and technology.
Today, longevity doesn’t necessarily mean quality of life. It means, simply, surviving to a much older age.
Given the march of progress in the medical sciences, it may be safe to assume that over time, quality of life will also increase in the later years of life. As geriatric diseases become treatable, and even curable in certain cases, long life may also become more enjoyable through better health.
But there are other problems with longevity.
I live in the heart of Silicon Valley, right off Sand Hill Road, in Menlo Park, California. Supposedly, this is the seat of the modern Renaissance.
Technology is disrupting everything.
Technology will continue to disrupt everything for the foreseeable future.